Another even-numbered year rolls around, and this time its presidential election season. As it stands, it appears that either Barack Obama will be elected for a second term, or a Republican challenger, likely Mitt Romney, will be the next president of the United States.
So how will either outcome of the 2012 presidential race affect the stock market?
Divided Government in 2012
As it stands, it appears that the Republican party will take the US House and Senate, regardless of the outcome of the presidential election. Should Republicans win the House and or the Senate, it would lead to a lame duck presidency for Barack Obama, dividing government control between two parties.
Divided government has historically been very good for stocks. The reason is fairly obvious no one party controls the government and therefore very few major changes are expected in public policy. Obamas health care reform, which passed with Democratic majorities, for example, would likely not become law if Republicans had control of the House and Senate.
When it comes to stocks, investors like predictability.





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